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Friday, July 15, 2005

Memo to Bochy: Start Xavier Nady!

Title Track

The Padres were shutout again last night. And where was the team's leading slugger? He sat on the bench until Bochy decided to put him in as a Late Inning Defensive Replacement. Nady plays five positions. Those positions are First Base, Third Base, Left Field, Center Field and Right Field. There are two hitters on the team better than Xavier Nady. They are the Left and Right Fielders. That leaves Center, Third and First. Xavier Nady should be in one of those three spots every single day unless he's injured.


Using Marc Normandin's NRAA, we can see roughly how many more runs Nady would be worth in comparison to each of these players over the rest of the season and see if I was off-base with my earlier remarks...

Starting with first base, Nady is at 10.44 NRAA/72 games compared to Nevin who is at -1.66 NRAA/72 games. That's a difference of 12.1 runs.

At third base, Nady is at 9.72 NRAA/72 games compared to Burroughs who is at -1.08 NRAA/72 games. Nady = +10.8 runs.

In left field, Nady is at 1.01 NRAA/72 games compared to Klesko who is at 10.44 NRAA/72 games. Nady = -9.43 runs.

In center field, Nady is at -0.16 NRAA/72 games compared to Roberts who is at -1.01 NRAA/72 games. Nady = +0.85 runs.

In right field, Nady is at 4.64 NRAA/72 games compared to Giles who is at 27.79 NRAA/72 games. Nady = -23.15 runs.

The biggest benefit appears to be at first base. Works for me.

Hank Has a Point

Robert Fick's 1B NRAA/72 = 11.66
Robert Fick's 1B eNRAA/72 = -12.32 ('05-'03 weighted)

Mark Sweeney's 1B NRAA/72 = 19.22
Mark Sweeney's 1B eNRAA/72 = 13.61 ('05-'03 weighted)

It becomes clear that the better choice is to start Sweeney at first and Nady at third. Portland would probably like to watch Sean play baseball. Give them the chance, KT.


Anonymous the fathers said...

Could you run a comparison between Nady, Fick and Sweeney at first, because that is who Nady's prime competition is now?

If the numbers come out like I think they would, I would go with Nady at 3B over Williamsport Hero.

BTW, Fick started at 1b last night because he had 3 HR in something like 16 ABs againg Vasquez.

10:37 PM, July 15, 2005  
Blogger Peter said...

Looking at how they did at each position is misleading. You can't predict that each hitter would fare THAT differently at different defensive positions. In fact you would virtually HAVE to predict the opposite - that each hitter's stats would migrate to their norms...

Great info, but cumulinate each hitter's stats then compare them to the other hitters' cumulative stats.

9:14 PM, July 18, 2005  
Blogger Richard B. Wade said...

The stat uses their MLVr for the whole season not for at a particular position.

9:45 PM, July 24, 2005  
Blogger Richard B. Wade said...

The reason it changes by position is because it uses the defensive stat Rate2 which is position specific.

9:46 PM, July 24, 2005  

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