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Monday, July 18, 2005

Tim Stauffer

Upcoming Series

Check out Metstradamus.

Title Track

I'm of the opinion that analyzing "per-start" stats gives you a better idea of a starting pitcher's value than their "per nine" or "per inning" stats. I am also of the opinion that the best (okay, I mean easiest) way to break down those stats is through the most basic of statistical methods: mean, median, mode and range.

With that in mind, I wanted to take a look at what Tim Stauffer has done in his rookie season thus far.

Mean Line: 6.12 IP, 6.33 H, 3.08 R, 0.58 HR, 2 BB, 3.67 K, 16 P/IP
Median Line: 6.0 IP, 7 H, 3 R, 1 HR, 2 BB, 3.5 K, 15.3 P/IP
Mode Line: 6.0 IP, 7 H, 2 R, 1 HR, 2 BB, 2 K
Range: 2.0 IP, 6 H, 4 R, 1 HR, 3 BB, 5 K, 6.86 P/IP

Two words come to mind: Solid & Consistent. Those are pretty solid adjectives to have attached to a guy as a rookie, especially a 22 y/o rookie. Also mildly interesting, I thought, were the normal rate stats associated with each of the above lines.

Stat Line RA WHIP K/9 BB/9 K/BB
Mean 4.54 1.36 5.40 2.94 1.83
Median 4.50 1.50 5.25 3.00 1.75
Mode 3.00 1.50 3.00 3.00 1.00

Still pretty solid. Let me know what you think about using this sort of basic statistical analysis for starting pitchers.


Blogger Marc Normandin said...

Definitely interesting to use that. It is also pretty helpful; it doesn't act so much like a rate stat in the sense that per 9 does, but at the same time functions by telling you what your going to get.

7:57 PM, July 18, 2005  
Blogger Peter said...

It is insightful, but I wouldn't say it's "easiest" because we don't have those numbers for other pitchers. We would need to see how the rate-stats compare with other pitchers' stats to the excellence.

I do understand your frustration with /9 stats since pitchers rarely throw 9 IP at a time. But until we can convince you to convert the stats for all the pitchers... ;-)

Good stuff bud! And yeah, Timmy's underrated.

9:09 PM, July 18, 2005  
Blogger Richard B. Wade said...

Maybe at the end of the season I'll convert all of the pitchers. For now, I think I'll just cover maybe the top 20 by ERA or something. I'll probably post that at BtB.

11:35 PM, July 18, 2005  

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