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Wednesday, June 22, 2005

Bruce Bochy Cost Us Another Game

Title Track

I am sick and tired of his incompetence.

(Lance: Richard would like to see Boch and Nevin in a steel cage death match. He would root for them to kill eachother.)

Paul McAnulty

McAnulty's Weighted Mean PECOTA Projection prior to this year was .238/.329/.386 and an EQA of .264. It asserted that there was a 50% probability that McAnulty would be a league average hitter or worse. His closest comparable player was Mo Vaugh in 1992. Mo Vaughn managed a stunning .234/.326/.400 that year with an EQA of .255. Last year at Lake Elsinore, Paul managed a Major League Equivalent line of .242/.335/.411.

I'd like to know how Towers decided that McAnulty deserved call-up more than any other player in the system. Jon Knott, for instance, makes a lot more sense. Knott's Major League Equivalent line last year was .255/.336/.444 and his Weighted Mean Projection this year is .254/.343/.441 and an EQA of .283.

I'm not going to say the decision is wrong. I just don't understand how it was made.

2 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

The most common explanation for McAnulty's promotion is that he is replacing Fick as the 2nd left-handed bench bat, and that he is the best of the AA and AAA lefthanded hitters. I'm not saying this is a valid reason, just what I've heard.

Your MLE data is interesting. Can you put up numbers regarding MLEs for Knott and McAnulty based on their performances this season to date?

10:59 AM, June 23, 2005  
Blogger Richard B. Wade said...

The MLE's for this season don't seem to be available anywhere.

3:50 PM, June 23, 2005  

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