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Monday, May 30, 2005

Beyond the Boxscore

Title Track

I recently posted my first contribution at Beyond the Boxscore. You can see it at this link.

Dave Roberts

Dave Roberts has quickly become my favorite player to watch. He has one of the ugliest swings I've ever seen and a career OBP of about .335, but that doesn't matter. Even his 62% success rate on stolen bases doesn't bother me. When Dave Roberts plays, the Padres win. When he doesn't, they don't. My first place Padres are 7-9 without the fleet-footed centerfielder and an astounding 24-10 with him. For those without either the ability to do simple math or a calculator, those are winning percentages of .438 and .706 respectively. These results can no doubt be traced to something else, but I'll be damned if I'm going to do that. It's all Dave Roberts all the time. I can assure you that these are not small sample size results, Dave Roberts is a baseball god. A Dave Roberts led Padre team can be assured of winning 114 games over a 162 game season, while a Roberts free Friar squad would be lucky to make it to 71 wins. You'll just have to trust me on this.

Update: I actually went through the trouble of looking up the Dodgers' and Red Sox' records with and without Roberts last year. Here they are:

















Further Proof, DR = Winning Machine
Team-Monthw/Robertsw/o Roberts
LAN-Apr14-60-2
LAN-May5-18-12
LAN-Jun9-124-2
LAN-Jul18-43-3
LAN-Aug-Oct 32-27
LAN-Total46-2347-46
BOS-Apr-Jul 56-46
BOS-Aug16-35-4
BOS-Sep18-40-6
BOS-Oct3-10-0
BOS-Total37-861-56
Reg. Season83-31108-102
Playoffs3-07-6


I was kidding earlier, but now I almost believe it.

Dodger W% w/DR = .667; Dodger W% w/o DR = .505; Red Sox W% w/DR = .822; Red Sox W% w/o DR = .521.

Their combined Regular Season W% w/DR = .728; w/o = .514.

Playoffs 1.000 to .538.

Overall: .735 to .516.

2 Comments:

Blogger Dex said...

Hey Richard,

Good to see you've joined the SportsBlogs family! I look forward to your analysis here and there.

Go Padres!

2:48 PM, May 30, 2005  
Blogger Richard B. Wade said...

Thanks, Dex.

2:56 PM, May 30, 2005  

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